June 24, 2024 | Emerging Markets Debt
Supply Rationing Could Ease Downside Risks on Nickel Prices

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https://youtu.be/z-lMyKBXBrA?si=4tCoFfmvWIynpHqM
Alexandra Symeonidi delves into the significant expansion of nickel production in Indonesia following the 2020 export ban, its impact on global supply and prices, and the potential market effects of Indonesia's recent policy changes on nickel smelting permits.
Transcript
In nickel, we’ve seen a vast expansion in production coming from Indonesia after the nickel ore export ban in 2020. Production has doubled in the last four years, to 1.6 million tonnes, representing more than half of global nickel supply. As a result of that steep supply growth, prices were moving lower throughout last year. Several high-cost operations in Australia and New Caledonia have been shut down due to the low-price environment. We believe that further supply rationing, especially from Indonesia, will help ease downside risks on nickel prices. Indonesia announced last week that it might be terminating new permits for low-grade nickel smelting, paving the way for more cautious supply growth.
Filmed June 2024
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